Tennis · resolved market
ITF Uriage: Damien Clerc vs Rodrigo Alujas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb83bd4ebd258658ec27f62246a4badbc6ff50238bf5e4284b281d4d0bdcc6c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodrigo Alujasof Damien Clerc, Rodrigo Alujas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rodrigo Alujas | 74c | 22,047$16,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Damien Clerc | 12c | 16,406$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.73 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Damien Clerc | 50c | 4,611$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.46 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Damien Clerc | 51c | 2,506$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.06 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Damien Clerc | 49c | 652.34$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.62 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Damien Clerc | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Damien Clerc | 51c | 415.5$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 78c | 292.01$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rodrigo Alujas | 77c | 245.63$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Damien Clerc | 34c | 189.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Damien Clerc | 51c | 189.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Damien Clerc | 51c | 174.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Damien Clerc | 51c | 167.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Rodrigo Alujas | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Rodrigo Alujas | 50c | 122.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Damien Clerc | 51c | 107.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Damien Clerc | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rodrigo Alujas | 68c | 98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Damien Clerc | 32c | 84.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Rodrigo Alujas | 57c | 74.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Damien Clerc | 51c | 71.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Rodrigo Alujas | 57c | 58.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Damien Clerc | 48c | 57.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 52c | 56.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Damien Clerc | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Damien Clerc | 53c | 45.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Rodrigo Alujas | 49c | 42.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Damien Clerc | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Damien Clerc | 52c | 37.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…fe8abacked Damien Clerc | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rodrigo Alujas | 47c | 25.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Damien Clerc | 49c | 24.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Rodrigo Alujas | 50c | 20.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Rodrigo Alujas | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Rodrigo Alujas | 65c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 76c | 14.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.