MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b48d93b57c024e619fe1d0572fb2001d2318457729cec81223a6afe30cd37d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Chicago White Sox, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,135$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 847$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 830.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 805$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.9 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 756.9$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.05 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 595$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.52 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 572.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 503.13$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.12 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 484.21$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 442.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 327.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 309.26$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 296.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 289.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 277.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 253.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 226.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 18c | 162.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 157.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 21c | 156$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 75c | 155.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Chicago White Sox | 26c | 147.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 95.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 89.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 82.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 65.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 64.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 64.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 57.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…536bbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 55.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 54.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 53.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 53.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Chicago White Sox | 27c | 48.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 45.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 44.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 38.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 27.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…e79dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.