MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf30101de85c17f00af6d9ebba44caa460b4d975999f3e79f4227f581b4887297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 57c | 146,401$83,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,186.7 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 45c | 56,361$25,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,876.43 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 42c | 55,507$23,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,019.05 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,499.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 20,081$8,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,490.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 43c | 12,226$5,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,968.82 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 9,825$4,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 43c | 6,335$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.91 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 5,323$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 45c | 4,929$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.87 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 4,317$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.02 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 3,734$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.08 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 2,637$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 2,439$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 43c | 2,242$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.94 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 42c | 2,218$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.15 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 41c | 2,165$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 1,857$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.67 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 44c | 1,722$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.13 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 1,500$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 58c | 1,408$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.61 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 45c | 1,370$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.5 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 43c | 1,288$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.28 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.18 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 55c | 955$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.25 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Under | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.38 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 44c | 908$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.11 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 897.44$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 848.48$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.66 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 43c | 675.33$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.94 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 34c | 567.69$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 50c | 506.31$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.74 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Under | 43c | 504$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.8 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 499.82$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 58c | 390$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 45c | 372.24$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 367$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 51c | 322.58$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 300$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 43c | 297.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 54c | 295.42$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 59c | 289.35$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.72 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 49c | 262.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 41c | 231.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 45c | 223.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 41c | 203.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 54c | 188.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 43c | 183.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 165.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…3d7dbacked Over | 60c | 163.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 57c | 140$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 52c | 137$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 43c | 132.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.41 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Over | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 42c | 102.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 44c | 100.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 93.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 50c | 84.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 43c | 66.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 43c | 62.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Over | 56c | 59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 43c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Over | 58c | 52.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 49c | 51.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 43c | 49.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Under | 43c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 51c | 38.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 59c | 33.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Over | 56c | 32.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Under | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fd…bb58backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 43c | 26.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Under | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.