TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,241

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over57c146,401$83,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,186.715451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under45c56,361$25,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,876.4343647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under42c55,507$23,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,019.054,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over58c25,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,499.992050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c20,081$8,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,490.1211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under43c12,226$5,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,968.8292054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c9,825$4,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,551.118,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Over54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under43c6,335$2,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,610.9119546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c5,323$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.256,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Under45c4,929$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,710.8728553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over58c4,317$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.024,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over57c3,734$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.085,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under45c2,637$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.153,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c2,439$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.4110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under43c2,242$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.9471650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under42c2,218$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.1541051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under41c2,165$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.9916848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c1,857$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.674,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under44c1,722$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.131,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under43c1,500$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84861352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c1,408$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.611,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under45c1,370$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.521449.5%106 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under43c1,288$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2873949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.1899624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c1,024$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over55c955$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.251,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Under42c952.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3813851.4%71 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under44c908$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.112,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c897.44$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.7612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over55c848.48$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.661,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under43c675.33$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.941,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3069650%48 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34248653.7%261 W · 225 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over34c567.69$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.816135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under50c506.31$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.741,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Under43c504$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.89662.5%60 W · 36 L+11.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under44c499.82$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.588,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over58c390$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.21,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under45c372.24$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0141346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c367$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.526,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over51c322.58$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.521,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c300$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.59,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under43c297.5$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.321,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over54c295.42$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.594,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over59c289.35$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7261450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under49c262.61$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.932,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under41c231.85$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7451545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under45c223.76$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under41c203.12$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8429141.6%121 W · 170 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over54c188.79$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.388046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under43c183.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3617047.1%80 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c165.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.162,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5e…3d7dbacked Over60c163.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Over57c140$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3324843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over52c137$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2492046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under43c132.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4147350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6641637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…d83abacked Over58c118.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under42c102.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4457747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under44c100.68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3840341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5799447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under47c93.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5673355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under50c84.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.451,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358848.9%43 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under43c66.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7797944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under43c62.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.351,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Over56c59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0210658.5%62 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Under43c53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2135149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Over58c52.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.617550.3%88 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bd…b576backed Under49c51.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4427557.1%157 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3255…ffb9backed Over59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018053.9%97 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.251,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under43c49.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.167444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Under43c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5115339.9%61 W · 92 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013025.4%33 W · 97 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under51c38.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.771,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under43c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.092,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over59c33.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6934846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under78c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x409d…8f47backed Under46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6111050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Over56c32.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Under43c31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.673145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01fd…bb58backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155038%19 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under43c26.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.213151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Under43c26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.827243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Under48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4812140.5%49 W · 72 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.888,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c21.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5570455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.478854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.652852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.