MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9b6bd6cd3e75c2fad9bd952fec88f5263266bc74385ad822bf279f45d44fda1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Chicago White Sox, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 26,328$9,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,037.31 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 23,656$12,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,301.12 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 22,662$15,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,480.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 20,593$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,692.67 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 18,426$8,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,581.52 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 17,123$9,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,770.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 14,540$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,124.87 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 14,482$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,233.03 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 13,538$10,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.3 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 9,835$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.85 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 9,813$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,906.55 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 9,500$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 8,966$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.81 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 8,524$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.92 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 6,033$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.5 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 6,001$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.51 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,883$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.67 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 5,658$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.01 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,315$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.12 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Chicago White Sox | 20c | 4,540$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.5 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 4,179$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 33c | 4,121$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.99 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 4,112$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.25 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 4,110$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 4,098$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.21 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 3,239$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.31 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 3,146$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.98 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 2,840$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 2,749$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.16 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…a1e4backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 2,693$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.62 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 2,442$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.05 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 2,425$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.25 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,326$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.54 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,301$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,287$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.91 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 2,122$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.56 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 2,067$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.13 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 2,062$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 2,023$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 1,982$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,962$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.88 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,955$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.41 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,824$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,809$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.22 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,803$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.04 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 1,574$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,525$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.21 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 1,500$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.06 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.96 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,315$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.6 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…adc6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,073$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.4 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,023$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.96 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Chicago White Sox | 47c | 976.19$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.81 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 941.02$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.28 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 932$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 880.39$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.11 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 850.46$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.69 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Chicago White Sox | 30c | 811.17$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 780.01$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 765.31$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 730$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 726.49$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.98 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 705.18$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.81 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 697$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.54 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 692.07$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 681.26$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 626.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 577.49$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 563.76$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 559.22$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.28 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 555.65$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.86 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 555$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 518.26$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…2858backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 461$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.89 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 446$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 438.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.71 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 400$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.