MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf74521cb53962237a6c06e31ab08acba1242d7886f77e4572911ae6274d5b624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 50c | 197,210$99,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,374.97 | 486 | 48.8%237 W · 249 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 43,359$21,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,717 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 18,451$9,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,242.78 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 15,091$7,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,669.81 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Under | 52c | 14,431$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,930.63 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 13,756$6,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,997.07 | 1,593 | 48.6%774 W · 819 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 12,063$5,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,090.77 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 50c | 11,998$5,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,058.63 | 801 | 47.7%382 W · 419 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 49c | 11,837$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,036.74 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 49c | 9,054$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.54 | 750 | 50.8%381 W · 369 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 49c | 6,459$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 49c | 6,100$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111 | 471 | 48.6%229 W · 242 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 54c | 5,513$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.16 | 893 | 49.3%440 W · 453 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Under | 49c | 5,025$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 50c | 3,990$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.37 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,982$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.86 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 48c | 1,702$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.01 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,319$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.94 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 1,116$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.09 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.99 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.76 | 2,319 | 51.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 34c | 999$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.34 | 1,911 | 44.4%848 W · 1,063 L | -29.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 51c | 987.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.34 | 393 | 51.7%203 W · 190 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 975$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 51c | 922.68$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.11 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 793.62$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.34 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 601.27$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 488 | 53.7%262 W · 226 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 50c | 599.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 1,742 | 49.1%856 W · 886 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…4ae7backed Under | 52c | 596.15$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 56c | 551$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 516.51$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 40c | 502.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.34 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 485.9$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 62c | 434.86$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.63 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 399.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 58c | 361.72$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 50c | 298$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 1,894 | 49.3%934 W · 960 L | +24.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 50c | 294.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 482 | 50.6%244 W · 238 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 50c | 276$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 239.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 1,224 | 54%661 W · 563 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 53c | 219.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…0ca0backed Under | 52c | 215.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 52c | 197.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,448 | 50%724 W · 724 L | +26.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 672 | 48.5%326 W · 346 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 50c | 175.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 1,822 | 49.2%897 W · 925 L | -25.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 169.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 167.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 53c | 161.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 49c | 154.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 142$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 135.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 50c | 120.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 52c | 118.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 49c | 103.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 100.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,423 | 49.9%1,208 W · 1,215 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,839 | 53.9%992 W · 847 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 385 | 41.8%161 W · 224 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 486 | 45.7%222 W · 264 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 86.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 3,018 | 48%1,448 W · 1,570 L | +14.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 50c | 73.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 71c | 73.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 29c | 66.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 49c | 62.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 50c | 60.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,045 | 52%543 W · 502 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 49c | 59.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 53c | 55.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…d241backed Under | 50c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Under | 49c | 53.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 50c | 51.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 50c | 50.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 1,292 | 56.8%734 W · 558 L | +31.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73fa…f396backed Under | 52c | 49.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…7c4abacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 66c | 46.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 459 | 58.4%268 W · 191 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…016abacked Under | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…7d37backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Under | 50c | 40.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 69c | 36.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.