MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8f049adda6efd8becc699e49bfdf15529a78167f56770ecc55a617ba3f5bc21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $556,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $494,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $556,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 208,148$112,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,748.08 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…b9f8backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 100,000$53,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,471.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 66,666$30,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,666.36 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 58,722$28,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,492.19 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,999.96 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 1c | 32,574$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 30,993$14,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,257 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 24,098$10,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,654.04 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 17,885$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 16,060$7,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,387.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 13,703$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.93 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Tampa Bay Rays | 0c | 13,285$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 11,536$4,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 10,368$4,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.37 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 9,720$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.44 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 1c | 9,050$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 8,505$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.54 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 5,088$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 4,695$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.71 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 4,421$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.68 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 4,211$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 6c | 4,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 3,686$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 3,525$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.95 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 2,995$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 17c | 2,700$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,465$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 2,456$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.29 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,300$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 2,208$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.92 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,172$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.22 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.69 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 1,956$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.76 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,932$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.04 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 1,227$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…34c3backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,221$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.7 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 6c | 1,110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Tampa Bay Rays | 11c | 1,066$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 1,000$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.77 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 869$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 788.84$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.12 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 760.88$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.91 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 757.47$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.01 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 750.81$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 737.39$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 686$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.42 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 620.85$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.46 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 614.01$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.44 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 585$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed Tampa Bay Rays | 2c | 579$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…f9f5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Tampa Bay Rays | 3c | 496.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 447.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 444.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.44 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 3c | 420$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 369.68$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 363.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 351.58$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 346$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 312$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 274.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 273.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.34 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 252.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5120…b26bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 224.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 221.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 219$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 205.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 203.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 185.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…9fdabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 184.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 175.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 175$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 168.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 165.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…ab3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 163.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 157.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 156.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.