MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf555b051b32ce152f189b22ee6d1bcca18c87862cf4597251be4c4dbb73b6f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof San Diego Padres, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 43,462$18,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,254.02 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 13,577$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.65 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 13,409$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.62 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 12,822$4,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250.66 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Diego Padres | 12c | 7,452$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.69 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 7,029$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.19 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 6,751$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 69c | 6,701$4,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.08 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 5,422$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.42 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 5,018$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 11c | 5,009$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.52 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 4,879$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.69 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 75c | 4,666$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.43 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…453bbacked San Diego Padres | 28c | 3,325$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 2,505$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 2,189$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.59 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 2,090$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.38 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 2,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.71 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 1,972$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.15 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 1,761$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,634$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 1,603$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.33 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 1,381$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,362$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.08 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 1,337$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 1,331$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.32 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,193$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.98 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 1,178$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,163$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.46 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 1,011$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 836.7$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 750$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 699.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 665.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 628.1$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.18 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 550$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 482.19$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.56 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 476$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked San Diego Padres | 16c | 410.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 400.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 400$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 334.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 326.07$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.69 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 296.03$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 280.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 271.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 11c | 270.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked San Diego Padres | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 247.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 237.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 207.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 206.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 204.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed San Diego Padres | 13c | 204.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 177.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 174.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked San Diego Padres | 36c | 173.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 172.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 167.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e7…245dbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 164.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…3186backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 163.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…c742backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 149$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 146.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked San Diego Padres | 8c | 143.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 140.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 134.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked San Diego Padres | 16c | 132.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 131.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…116fbacked Chicago Cubs | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…bc8fbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 123.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…b356backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 118.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…de8ebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 109.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 101.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 94.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.