MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d3eeed8260951cc0b3d8c63b1415f1321054b45a47ec1dcc8cf8c380192c67

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $507,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $512,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,709 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under	53c	213,262$113,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113,292.82	481	48.6%234 W · 247 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over	47c	100,000$47,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,999.97	552	53.1%293 W · 259 L	+21.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under	54c	86,360$47,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,015.76	444	46.8%208 W · 236 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over	51c	83,904$43,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,835.41	1,414	49.5%700 W · 714 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Over	47c	80,000$37,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,400	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	46c	47,671$22,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,636.31	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	48c	42,835$20,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,613.02	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over	47c	40,000$18,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,200	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x108d…b85dbacked Under	53c	30,000$15,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,900	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	49c	26,736$13,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,040.52	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	46c	13,055$6,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,050.83	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a7…63f1backed Under	53c	10,285$5,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,451.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,300	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,500	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Under	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	490	51%250 W · 240 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	45c	8,812$4,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,803.18	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	46c	7,201$3,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,860.84	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over	48c	6,300$3,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,276	217	48.4%105 W · 112 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650	1,301	50.2%653 W · 648 L	+19.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	48c	4,825$2,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,321.44	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over	52c	4,770$2,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,289.4	335	54%181 W · 154 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	45c	4,710$2,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,582.16	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	55c	3,912$2,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,146.98	1,797	50.4%906 W · 891 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	46c	3,801$1,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,068.99	2,311	51%1,179 W · 1,132 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Over	45c	3,083$1,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,695.44	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	46c	3,016$1,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,628.8	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	48c	2,535$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.24	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.91	384	53.6%206 W · 178 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	45c	1,992$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,089.6	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over	45c	1,780$801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979	1,922	53.4%1,027 W · 895 L	+28.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over	47c	1,776$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$941.28	878	50.5%443 W · 435 L	+12.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over	46c	1,660$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.08	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	47c	1,200$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.57	1,635	49.3%806 W · 829 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Under	53c	1,082$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.46	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over	48c	1,000$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$525	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	45c	945.49$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.55	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under	53c	934.3$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.18	366	48.9%179 W · 187 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	46c	767.03$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.63	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	48c	765$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.8	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under	52c	753$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.56	2,375	47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	52c	699.75$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.87	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Over	48c	640$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.8	178	53.4%95 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over	47c	638.3$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.3	1,201	49.1%590 W · 611 L	+20.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Over	47c	600$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	53c	495$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.35	1,538	48.6%747 W · 791 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	45c	440.1$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.61	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	46c	415.24$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.23	494	50%247 W · 247 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over	46c	400$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218	240	59.2%142 W · 98 L	+18.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	46c	322.99$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.62	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	53c	301.7$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.9	411	41.4%170 W · 241 L	-21.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	210	57.6%121 W · 89 L	+13.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	394	40.9%161 W · 233 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over	47c	260$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.49	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over	68c	224.58$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.82	4,187	50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L	+94.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	647	52.4%339 W · 308 L	+28.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	243	50.2%122 W · 121 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	46c	200$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109	2,413	49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L	+22.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Under	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.5	383	42%161 W · 222 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under	56c	196.24$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.47	795	55.6%442 W · 353 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under	54c	192$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.68	612	50.5%309 W · 303 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Over	46c	190$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.6	247	49%121 W · 126 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	382	52.1%199 W · 183 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under	53c	185$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.05	391	51.9%203 W · 188 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x721c…d585backed Over	46c	176.8$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.47	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over	47c	173.62$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.35	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	48c	157.65$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.98	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…48b9backed Over	47c	137.19$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.71	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	53c	118.03$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.53	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	48c	115.21$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.41	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under	56c	112.95$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.25	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	372	56.5%210 W · 162 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Over	48c	92.48$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.09	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over	55c	91.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.33	76	61.8%47 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under	55c	90.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over	46c	82.71$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.33	705	46.8%330 W · 375 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over	44c	79.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.8	404	46.5%188 W · 216 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Under	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	107	44.9%48 W · 59 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa36b…f273backed Under	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.22	106	48.1%51 W · 55 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over	46c	71$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	392	53.6%210 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	47c	69.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.11	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under	48c	68.61$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	509	54%275 W · 234 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Under	53c	66.42$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under	54c	63.41$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.24	859	49.1%422 W · 437 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Under	48c	63.17$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.57	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	253	56.9%144 W · 109 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under	55c	58.97$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.24	424	55.4%235 W · 189 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	55c	58.54$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	2,588	61.5%1,591 W · 997 L	+72.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	48c	56.63$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.45	528	52.1%275 W · 253 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9007…cf89backed Under	52c	55.77$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	1,306	50.7%662 W · 644 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Under	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under	53c	46.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.81	273	45.4%124 W · 149 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Under	54c	46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.84	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over	48c	45.65$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.74	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under	53c	43.55$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	445	53.5%238 W · 207 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Under	54c	43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.22	341	49.3%168 W · 173 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba0…6ab2backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5this page
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Over won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Chicago CubsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event