TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Sinners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$632,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$803,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 585 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Sinners32c96,160$31,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,238.5812249.2%60 W · 62 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked BetBoom Team69c49,180$33,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,266.5816344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed Sinners31c46,312$14,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,419.7720153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf81…6e25backed Sinners34c34,768$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,799.961010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid+32.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x666d…5795backed Sinners36c30,000$10,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,672.35560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BetBoom Team67c26,777$17,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,816.4433343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe183…62e6backed BetBoom Team67c26,202$17,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,615.982951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Sinners28c24,508$6,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,77675452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed BetBoom Team67c19,248$12,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,395.1233359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed BetBoom Team72c15,122$10,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,234.9222843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed BetBoom Team64c12,825$8,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6171241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BetBoom Team69c12,200$8,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,72650054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked BetBoom Team67c11,360$7,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,748.8814145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed BetBoom Team66c10,257$6,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,471.328951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Sinners33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.999047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed BetBoom Team67c9,789$6,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.69944.4%44 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a90…7e68backed BetBoom Team73c9,180$6,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.62958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed Sinners32c7,550$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.983441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked BetBoom Team67c7,548$5,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,490.7920248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Sinners31c7,321$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.3636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Sinners33c6,961$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.0867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Sinners27c6,349$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.3184658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Sinners29c6,198$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.1847047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed BetBoom Team75c5,561$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.1351842.3%219 W · 299 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Sinners34c5,313$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…eb10backed BetBoom Team67c5,260$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sinners30c5,159$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.1566551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Sinners34c4,353$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.9929449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed BetBoom Team67c4,300$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4193641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed BetBoom Team65c4,223$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.0126952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked BetBoom Team68c4,171$2,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.8544657.2%255 W · 191 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked BetBoom Team66c4,100$2,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39438358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Sinners30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.718556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Sinners33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.923848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed BetBoom Team66c3,814$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.684141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed BetBoom Team68c3,529$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.4148350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Sinners33c3,496$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.346144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked BetBoom Team72c3,472$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.058258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed BetBoom Team75c3,222$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.3627961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2772…ac19backed Sinners33c3,160$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.998246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sinners33c3,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98060248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed BetBoom Team70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90012749.6%63 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Sinners33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Sinners33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed BetBoom Team66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.8926360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Sinners33c2,979$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.3138841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed BetBoom Team67c2,962$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.429450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfed…9d03backed Sinners34c2,911$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.231631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d67…ab42backed BetBoom Team64c2,899$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.491266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked BetBoom Team71c2,892$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.661,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked BetBoom Team70c2,861$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.6246165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed BetBoom Team65c2,557$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.912035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BetBoom Team67c2,528$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.532,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x219e…6d26backed BetBoom Team67c2,520$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.491560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Sinners30c2,356$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.776454.7%35 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners33c2,299$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.345,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed BetBoom Team71c2,066$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.0648040%192 W · 288 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sinners32c2,007$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.251,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Sinners27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Sinners1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked BetBoom Team68c1,996$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.6623646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked BetBoom Team67c1,976$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.126965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked BetBoom Team67c1,897$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.187436.5%27 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed BetBoom Team65c1,789$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.891,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9de…c026backed Sinners33c1,770$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.181546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed BetBoom Team71c1,767$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.4946143.4%200 W · 261 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked BetBoom Team69c1,760$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.861,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Sinners30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9913732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked BetBoom Team68c1,614$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9639157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Sinners37c1,610$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.235836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed BetBoom Team67c1,560$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.0520745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ff…b983backed BetBoom Team67c1,547$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.521361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked BetBoom Team66c1,514$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.8632548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Sinners32c1,505$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.022,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed BetBoom Team69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Sinners32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9926054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a2…c1c2backed BetBoom Team69c1,442$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.265151%26 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b8…0b16backed Sinners35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-71.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed BetBoom Team67c1,427$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.9627657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed BetBoom Team72c1,348$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.9719245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed BetBoom Team67c1,343$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.2814839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86bf…a172backed BetBoom Team68c1,332$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.123836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed BetBoom Team72c1,272$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.482850%14 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked BetBoom Team67c1,253$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.7340950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Sinners12c1,249$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8836440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed BetBoom Team67c1,228$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.966136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed BetBoom Team67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39632346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed BetBoom Team68c1,195$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.8240558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Sinners34c1,176$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Sinners35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40075145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked BetBoom Team68c1,106$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.3622751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked BetBoom Team69c1,100$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.422241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked BetBoom Team74c1,078$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.282055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed BetBoom Team67c1,040$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.219840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5045…914abacked BetBoom Team66c1,006$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.210644.3%47 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa972…9817backed BetBoom Team75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505172.5%37 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0978…0d99backed Sinners27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010441.3%43 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Sinners33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked BetBoom Team67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33049849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed BetBoom Team66c999.98$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9913646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.