Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Luciana Moyano vs Daria Egorova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb311a86d9e4b3b024f844491e4a470eb548608f6a1e19fd2ddd33ec4d4753d6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Egorovaof Luciana Moyano, Daria Egorova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Daria Egorova | 76c | 2,095$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.84 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Luciana Moyano | 7c | 1,343$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Luciana Moyano | 37c | 778$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.04 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Luciana Moyano | 21c | 774.26$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.48 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Luciana Moyano | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Luciana Moyano | 37c | 612.22$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.65 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Egorova | 51c | 467.17$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Luciana Moyano | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Daria Egorova | 64c | 388.21$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Luciana Moyano | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Luciana Moyano | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Luciana Moyano | 27c | 251.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Luciana Moyano | 53c | 246.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Luciana Moyano | 22c | 231.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Luciana Moyano | 27c | 192.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Luciana Moyano | 27c | 188.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daria Egorova | 77c | 161.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Luciana Moyano | 27c | 159.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Luciana Moyano | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Luciana Moyano | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Daria Egorova | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luciana Moyano | 32c | 92.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Daria Egorova | 48c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Daria Egorova | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luciana Moyano | 19c | 64.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Daria Egorova | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Daria Egorova | 62c | 57.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Luciana Moyano | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Daria Egorova | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Daria Egorova | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Daria Egorova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Daria Egorova | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Sao Paulo: Luciana Moyano vs Daria Egorovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Moyano vs EgorovaMoyano won
- Set Handicap: Egorova (-1.5) vs Moyano (+1.5)Moyano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.