MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1cb668f44322a8975bdd12276b7c43bd7705b47298cc6d869858e62ead1435c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $506,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 66,666$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,666.3 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 35,346$14,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,423.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 33,590$14,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,810.49 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 29,816$16,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,697.07 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 19,516$7,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,227.39 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 17,282$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,505.22 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 15,510$4,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,443.12 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 15,293$5,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,168.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 14,870$5,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,460.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 13,888$5,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,982.68 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 71c | 11,813$8,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.01 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 9,550$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.23 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 7,013$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.03 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 6,120$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 5,998$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.5 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 5,555$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.25 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 5,234$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.64 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 5,096$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.02 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 5,005$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.44 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 5,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 4,829$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.41 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 4,550$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.5 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 4,434$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 4,093$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.4 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 4,011$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.95 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 2,922$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 2,691$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.15 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 2,616$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.51 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 2,516$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.07 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 1,991$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.04 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,810$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.57 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,673$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 1,547$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.31 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,381$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.04 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 1,300$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,220$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.98 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 1,168$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.16 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,091$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 1,090$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,088$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.25 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 1,075$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.22 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 1,072$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.67 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 1,019$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.54 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 988.22$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.87 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 953$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.68 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 886.2$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 822.99$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 780$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 681.71$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.94 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 663.78$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 651$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.07 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 631.19$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.81 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 572.18$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 570.91$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.8 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 562$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 549.87$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.93 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 544.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 534.01$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.83 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 529.86$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.33 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 524.37$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 509.57$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.22 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 500.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 490$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 483.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago White Sox | 69c | 481.93$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 480.21$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.17 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 478$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.71 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 437.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…cce4backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 426.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 384.34$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 380.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 331.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 328.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 308.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 290$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 287.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 285$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 284$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 283$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 274.29$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Chicago White Sox | 66c | 261$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 247$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 245.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 238.89$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 13.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 15.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.