MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x559279bae47def0e649256d9bb96102af0511cbf77c9710e25d572fbee96211c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Cleveland Guardians, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 64c | 8,562$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.03 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 7,895$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.13 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 7,396$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.51 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 6,490$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.59 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 1,059$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.01 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 999.03$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.15 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 830$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 805$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.82 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 729$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 609.22$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 593.86$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.19 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 494.84$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.57 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 475.14$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.12 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 398$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.23 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 256$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 231$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 201$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 156$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chicago White Sox | 69c | 143.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 113$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 102.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 94.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox | 71c | 76.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 72.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Chicago White Sox | 64c | 65.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…1c47backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 54.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox | 59c | 37.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 34.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Chicago White Sox | 66c | 32.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 24.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 23.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 19.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 18.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1,481 | 63.5%940 W · 541 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 13.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 15.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.