MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea04bba7befe5284545103e4b8cee5c33aee3f79e31f57e08fe0a8165be0c10c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Chicago White Sox, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 18,082$10,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.68 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 41c | 9,870$4,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,021.38 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 27c | 6,282$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 4,719$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.14 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 943$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.91 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 471.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 263$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 212$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 157.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 12c | 154.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf6…34bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 138.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Cleveland Guardians | 16c | 111.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 76.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 75.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 74.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Chicago White Sox | 37c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 64.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 57.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 47.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 47.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 38.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 31.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 13.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 15.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.