Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Matt Hulme vs Joshua Charlton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4828698ea7f745b137495f26e35b895d766fdce5eda2e84176fbf3549b129c96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matt Hulmeof Matt Hulme, Joshua Charlton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Joshua Charlton | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Joshua Charlton | 10c | 2,476$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Matt Hulme | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Matt Hulme | 58c | 583.7$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.83 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Joshua Charlton | 10c | 573$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Joshua Charlton | 39c | 535.75$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Matt Hulme | 74c | 400.31$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Joshua Charlton | 10c | 397$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Joshua Charlton | 33c | 295$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joshua Charlton | 33c | 276.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Joshua Charlton | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Matt Hulme | 58c | 241$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Joshua Charlton | 48c | 215.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Matt Hulme | 74c | 167.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Joshua Charlton | 10c | 138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Joshua Charlton | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Joshua Charlton | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Joshua Charlton | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Joshua Charlton | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Matt Hulme | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Matt Hulme | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Joshua Charlton | 28c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Joshua Charlton | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Joshua Charlton | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…cdb0backed Joshua Charlton | 50c | 49.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Joshua Charlton | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matt Hulme | 74c | 46.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Matt Hulme | 40c | 45.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Matt Hulme | 37c | 45.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Joshua Charlton | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Matt Hulme | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Joshua Charlton | 33c | 35.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Joshua Charlton | 47c | 33.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Matt Hulme | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matt Hulme | 40c | 31.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Joshua Charlton | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matt Hulme | 65c | 27.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Matt Hulme | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Joshua Charlton | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Matt Hulme | 67c | 24.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Joshua Charlton | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Matt Hulme | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Joshua Charlton | 51c | 20.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Matt Hulme | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Matt Hulme | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Matt Hulme | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…ab8fbacked Joshua Charlton | 63c | 16.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.