Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rochester: Sean Grosman vs Muhammad Shoaib
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x697d71a7e93bd101787ed74fbf08b7488f10d07bca85656f6c072ae53e98e011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muhammad Shoaibof Sean Grosman, Muhammad Shoaib
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Sean Grosman | 78c | 1,290$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.45 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Muhammad Shoaib | 23c | 847.39$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sean Grosman | 18c | 288.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Muhammad Shoaib | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Muhammad Shoaib | 43c | 244.17$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sean Grosman | 47c | 218.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Sean Grosman | 52c | 210$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sean Grosman | 57c | 190.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Sean Grosman | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Muhammad Shoaib | 46c | 109.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Sean Grosman | 42c | 106.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Muhammad Shoaib | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sean Grosman | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Sean Grosman | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Muhammad Shoaib | 77c | 78.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Muhammad Shoaib | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Muhammad Shoaib | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Muhammad Shoaib | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Muhammad Shoaib | 28c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Sean Grosman | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sean Grosman | 41c | 58.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Muhammad Shoaib | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Muhammad Shoaib | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Muhammad Shoaib | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Muhammad Shoaib | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Muhammad Shoaib | 39c | 44.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sean Grosman | 50c | 35.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Sean Grosman | 51c | 34.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Muhammad Shoaib | 56c | 29.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Muhammad Shoaib | 79c | 21.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sean Grosman | 75c | 21.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Muhammad Shoaib | 80c | 20.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Muhammad Shoaib | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Muhammad Shoaib | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Sean Grosman | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.