Tennis · resolved market
ITF Darmstadt: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Tena Lukas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b99ae6247e4032fddecb50bd8067c3145319fd910af3e2110baa3db503978a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tessa Johanna Brockmannof Tessa Johanna Brockmann, Tena Lukas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tena Lukas | 36c | 443.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 46c | 324.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tena Lukas | 54c | 299.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 32c | 279.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.96 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tena Lukas | 60c | 221.56$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.94 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 65c | 188.63$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 55c | 90.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tena Lukas | 61c | 90.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 41c | 86.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tena Lukas | 55c | 63.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tena Lukas | 23c | 59.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 38c | 55.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Tena Lukas | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Tena Lukas | 51c | 41.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Tena Lukas | 39c | 39.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Tena Lukas | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Tena Lukas | 38c | 36.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 50c | 31.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 47c | 27.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Tena Lukas | 42c | 25.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3207…86d9backed Tena Lukas | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tena Lukas | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Tena Lukas | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tena Lukas | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tena Lukas | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tena Lukas | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Tena Lukas | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Tena Lukas | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tena Lukas | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Tena Lukas | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.