Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Maria Camila Torres Murcia vs Justina Gonzalez Daniele
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4304368b2ef98f22500ff0df5dea941a5b0c54d61a792feafd080ed236ffed59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Justina Gonzalez Danieleof Maria Camila Torres Murcia, Justina Gonzalez Daniele
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 54c | 26,726$14,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,405.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…d758backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 35c | 22,572$8,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,566.35 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 65c | 5,817$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.87 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 39c | 2,817$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.59 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 64c | 2,338$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.95 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 63c | 2,154$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.02 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 64c | 1,717$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.31 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 72c | 1,560$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.25 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 59c | 1,199$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.27 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 32c | 1,024$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.72 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 56c | 685.15$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 61c | 561.87$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.04 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 36c | 559.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.85 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…d02bbacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 35c | 501.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 62c | 445.16$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 48c | 354.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 53c | 282.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 59c | 268.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 17c | 219.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 48c | 208.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 56c | 185.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 73c | 136.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 47c | 104.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 52c | 82.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 17c | 81.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 28c | 76.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 65c | 66.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 31c | 61.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…da75backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 56c | 60.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 56c | 58.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 56c | 56.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 40c | 55.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 70c | 54.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…a581backed Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 74c | 49.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 55c | 46.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 75c | 44.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 74c | 40.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Maria Camila Torres Murcia | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 337 | 51.9%175 W · 162 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 56c | 34.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 71c | 33.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 62c | 30.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Justina Gonzalez Daniele | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.