MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec479a66c25e0890f454fc0ded792370a1fe1dc7af645175c0a72ca4228a29b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Miami Marlins, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $646,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $650,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $646,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 109,069$45,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,809.17 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,999.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 65,948$25,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,893.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 50,810$25,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,871.55 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 44,366$25,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,098.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 42,331$17,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,676.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 26,415$16,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,242.87 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 21,128$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844.98 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 16,580$10,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,463.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 11,124$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.01 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ba…7524backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 9,901$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 9,737$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408.5 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 9,368$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.35 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.96 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 7,978$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 7,441$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 6,725$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 5,147$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.89 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 5,085$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 4,621$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.78 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 4,532$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 4,301$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.69 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 4,247$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 4,222$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.4 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 4,164$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.04 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 3,431$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.55 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,370$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.78 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 3,347$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.21 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 2,377$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.61 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,137$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 2,083$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.45 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed Miami Marlins | 3c | 1,918$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +411.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,886$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,870$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.94 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,829$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.47 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,825$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,814$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.14 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,755$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.11 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 1,714$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.91 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,560$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,555$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.1 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,500$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.49 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,440$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.76 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,388$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.95 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,386$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.15 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,339$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.61 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 1,290$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,223$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.2 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 1,195$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.16 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…7437backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,183$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 1,174$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.78 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,170$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,012$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.93 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 987.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 977.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.54 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 971$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.52 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 960.54$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.49 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 948.13$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 900$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 872.09$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 833.33$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.67 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 830.12$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 828.99$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.76 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 734.21$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.05 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 727.69$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.84 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd4…1fabbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Miami Marlins | 4c | 699.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…33e2backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 699.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 5cpaid | +259.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 672.02$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.65 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 647.02$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.75 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 612.37$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 598$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…812bbacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 536.25$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 518.32$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.98 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 499.79$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 450$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 444.43$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 444.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.11 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 428.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.