MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55c9cf447f39ab5cc7e72cc7be3bd03e2b58988460ba624fe42245052fcf5004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 63,941$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,400.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 52,360$35,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,806.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 25,163$14,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,342.94 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 22,649$7,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,959.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 21,089$13,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,419.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 20,575$8,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,727.75 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 12,967$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,177.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 22c | 10,923$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.07 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 9,732$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 7,857$5,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.84 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 7,679$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.98 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 24c | 4,669$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.95 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 4,444$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.52 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 4,178$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 3,492$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 3,103$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,035$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.41 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,339$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.67 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,145$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,103$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,084$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 2,082$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.96 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Chicago Cubs | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 69c | 1,809$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.66 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 1,500$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,496$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 1,429$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.63 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Chicago Cubs | 19c | 1,329$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,228$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Chicago Cubs | 25c | 1,158$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.67 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 1,115$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 1,058$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.39 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Chicago Cubs | 3c | 1,030$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,010$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.76 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 1,003$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 872.09$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.09 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 867.12$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.53 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 757.56$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.83 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Minnesota Twins | 77c | 721.14$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 715.61$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.28 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 708.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 690$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.3 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 575.54$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.75 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 571.93$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.07 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 569.83$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 543.86$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 527.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.48per pick | 22cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 493.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.63 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 491.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 455$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 433.63$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.16 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Minnesota Twins | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 425.19$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 418.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 408.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 393.33$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.13 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 364.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.07 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Chicago Cubs | 39c | 356.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 355.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 333$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 312.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 309.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 302.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 298.06$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.07 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Minnesota Twins | 72c | 276.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 273.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 72c | 268.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 266.76$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 259.16$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 244.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Minnesota Twins | 36c | 240.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 240.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a1…fd37backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 219.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 219$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 210$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 205.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 200.01$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed Minnesota Twins | 76c | 197$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 195.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 194.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Minnesota Twins | 70c | 188.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…528dbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 184.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 180.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 180.38$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.