MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08ede6fa84bfeaff87b0345a536421c7d0c3482b9cda3afefe58dd80aaf93d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Athletics, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Athletics | 50c | 26,965$13,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,482.36 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Houston Astros | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Athletics | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Athletics | 7c | 9,091$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.59 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 50c | 7,769$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 5c | 6,155$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.79 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 5,095$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.67 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…e36bbacked Athletics | 8c | 4,344$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 50c | 4,012$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Athletics | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 49c | 3,900$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.03 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Athletics | 15c | 3,334$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Athletics | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 19c | 2,849$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.92 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Athletics | 3c | 2,466$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Houston Astros | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Athletics | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.4 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.11 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,832$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Athletics | 2c | 1,635$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Athletics | 50c | 1,287$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.74 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Athletics | 41c | 1,284$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Athletics | 10c | 999.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Athletics | 50c | 925$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.25 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 810$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 775$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Houston Astros | 50c | 743.5$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.75 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 51c | 664$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.97 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Athletics | 5c | 650$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 78c | 624.02$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Athletics | 14c | 600$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Athletics | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Athletics | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2c…e8e8backed Athletics | 4c | 575$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Athletics | 24c | 571.46$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.25 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 41c | 543.15$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Athletics | 4c | 529.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 50c | 507.46$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…7f84backed Athletics | 51c | 485.29$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…6632backed Athletics | 5c | 440.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Athletics | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Athletics | 51c | 396$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Athletics | 9c | 365.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 311.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.11 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Athletics | 51c | 309.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Houston Astros | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Houston Astros | 46c | 258.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Athletics | 37c | 256$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Houston Astros | 80c | 240$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Athletics | 7c | 234.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 233$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…df0fbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…1259backed Athletics | 51c | 212$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Athletics | 21c | 205.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Athletics | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 50c | 200.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Houston Astros | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41b…dd9dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ca…8ab2backed Athletics | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Houston Astros | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Athletics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac5…fb4fbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…3b6ebacked Athletics | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…a69abacked Athletics | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…d35ebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Athletics | 7c | 183.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Athletics | 42c | 181.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 7c | 169.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…701bbacked Athletics | 54c | 163.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Houston Astros | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Houston Astros | 50c | 159.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Athletics | 7c | 156.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Athletics | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Athletics | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed Houston Astros | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Athletics | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Houston Astros | 49c | 116.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Houston Astros | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 387 | 68.5%265 W · 122 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…8273backed Athletics | 9c | 109$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 101.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Athletics | 50c | 100.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Athletics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Athletics | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Athletics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Houston Astros | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics | 16c | 98.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.