MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7c5e44991eec5a3c365faf7c0f5b6972239bed86e42ebb70e355f29537481c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Tampa Bay Rays, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 40,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 39,769$17,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,872.98 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 25,581$17,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,529.98 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 24,196$11,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,984.64 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 23,273$5,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,865.43 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 23,079$12,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,866.95 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 1c | 19,867$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 18,875$12,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,147.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 17,064$6,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,609.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 13,299$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 12,463$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.22 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 12,073$6,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,640.19 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.95 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 9,593$5,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…c66cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 8,843$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 7,232$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.03 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 6,757$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.08 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 6,021$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.34 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 6,014$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.11 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 80c | 4,495$3,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 3,993$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.61 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 3,838$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.97 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 3,566$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 3,276$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.12 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 3,128$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.24 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 3,119$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.49 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 2,887$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.47 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 2,880$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,638$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.68 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,525$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.5 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,498$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.17 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 2,355$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 2,347$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,006$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.75 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.99 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 1,838$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.93 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,812$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.56 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 1,724$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.6 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 1,641$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.54 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 4c | 1,519$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Tampa Bay Rays | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 1,500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.14 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,373$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.12 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 1,071$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 20c | 1,050$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 1,044$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -15.4wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 999.97$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 999.92$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.95 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 998.51$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.75 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 962.44$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.36 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 942.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 73c | 927.08$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 900$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 895.89$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.98 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 876.62$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.3 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…6632backed Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 843.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 759.65$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 739.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.99 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 721.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 6c | 711.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 697.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Miami Marlins | 80c | 693.78$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.67 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 691.62$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 679.59$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.59 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 670.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…1f1bbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 641$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…0c84backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 639.95$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 622.93$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 587.22$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 578.19$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.57 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 567.2$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.74 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 550$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 73c | 549.85$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 520$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 503.96$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…bedabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba91…e999backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 495.04$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 485.91$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.53 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Miami Marlins | 73c | 474.92$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 471.09$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 445$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 24c | 437$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 434.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 433.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 415.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 404$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 389.33$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.13 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 67c | 388$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 379.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.