MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0775c8e1e3205b49d1e81af9dd8d3ccb2b158733891959fcd8bf8c0c79969b90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under | 64c | 49,282$31,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,482.53 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -7.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 25,648$8,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,030.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 43c | 17,813$7,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,153.4 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Under | 5c | 5,250$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +363.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 65c | 4,226$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 3,971$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…c780backed Under | 5c | 3,184$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.34 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +288.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 2,052$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.57 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 1,689$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 1,511$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc9…ab64backed Under | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 34c | 1,324$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 49c | 1,304$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.14 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…6ae6backed Under | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 67c | 970$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 78c | 951$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.27 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Over | 78c | 951$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.29 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Under | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…ef53backed Over | 54c | 719.5$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Under | 80c | 549.5$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.6 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 499.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 73c | 393$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.89 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 314.63$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 33c | 252.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Over | 55c | 249.11$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 24c | 198.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 67c | 194$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 32c | 184.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 32c | 184.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 74c | 182.3$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 79c | 180$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 167.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Over | 70c | 156.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 151.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 151.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 19c | 151$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.13 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 27c | 136.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 57c | 123.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 44c | 112.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 44c | 110.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 73c | 107.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…c267backed Over | 50c | 99.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 52c | 98.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 44c | 95.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Over | 26c | 79.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 26c | 79.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 26c | 79.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 74c | 78.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 52c | 75.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 53c | 71.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 36c | 61.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 58c | 53.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 42c | 53.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 78c | 50.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 48c | 49.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 74c | 49.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 45.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 71c | 44.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 36c | 42.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 45c | 40.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 72c | 39.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 37.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 38c | 37.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Under | 62c | 37.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…1d3ebacked Under | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f25…4f11backed Under | 51c | 34.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Over | 35c | 31.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 58c | 30.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Under | 45c | 28.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Under | 62c | 27.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Over | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 60c | 22.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Under | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c7…9ae7backed Over | 73c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.