MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6221b30331009b7b061f34960da13711868a1faf09ec8d562da0c721b3ff0bcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 52c | 67,881$35,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,298.36 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.33 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 48c | 19,560$9,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,171.15 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 7,811$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 6,346$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.92 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 48c | 6,346$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.92 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 48c | 4,099$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.42 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 50c | 3,003$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.56 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 59c | 2,052$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.56 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 52c | 1,857$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.66 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 1,774$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 48c | 1,762$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.28 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…d0c6backed Over | 35c | 1,414$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 48c | 1,402$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.78 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 33c | 1,211$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.6 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,202$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Under | 72c | 1,176$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.13 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 906.32$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 887.96$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 17c | 650.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 545.88$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 488.32$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 385$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 53c | 382.34$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 53c | 377.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.83 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 297.55$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.41 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 53c | 267.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 65c | 200.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 25c | 195.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 75c | 191$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Over | 53c | 168.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Over | 36c | 162.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 38c | 155.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 138.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…fe94backed Over | 53c | 133.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Over | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 122.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Under | 67c | 114.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 55c | 111.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 69c | 101.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Over | 53c | 94.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 48c | 93.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 37c | 90.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 44c | 89.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Over | 27c | 85.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Over | 53c | 83.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 48c | 79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 39c | 75.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 33c | 62.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 58c | 60.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 37c | 56.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…2d83backed Over | 53c | 54.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 54.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 34c | 53.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 48c | 50.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Under | 48c | 49.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 52c | 49.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 45.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 72c | 42.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 34c | 41.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 34c | 41.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 29c | 40.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 53c | 38.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…a024backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…d9b8backed Over | 53c | 36.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Over | 41c | 36.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…5382backed Over | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Over | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 52c | 32.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Under | 48c | 31.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…16cebacked Over | 53c | 30.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Over | 53c | 28.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…50dabacked Over | 53c | 27.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…da4cbacked Over | 53c | 26.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…c695backed Under | 48c | 26.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 53c | 25.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 25.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.