MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08a40aba4b5a9ab0524847c9b5c4ba280563602942498fba87aa2a2bd02076b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Arizona Diamondbacks, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,176,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,273,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,176,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 450,000$207,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,999.94 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 222,078$119,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,155.69 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 90,000$48,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,400 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 70,000$37,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,200 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,499.95 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 46,875$31,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 43,969$20,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,665.53 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 43,011$23,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,785.03 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 33,537$9,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,976.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 30,339$20,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,694.66 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 29,630$16,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,644.9 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 26,877$8,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,416.91 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 25,675$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.18 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 23,855$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.64 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 17,336$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.92 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 17,271$10,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,421.8 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 15,021$5,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.16 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 12,753$6,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,993.91 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 9,471$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.97 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fe20backed Miami Marlins | 71c | 9,019$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 7,813$5,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…5586backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 6,874$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.47 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 6,250$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 6,068$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 5,991$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.48 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 5,654$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.97 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.1 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 4,880$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.94 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Miami Marlins | 68c | 4,688$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 4,321$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.61 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 4,216$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.94 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 4,206$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.28 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 3,996$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.82 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 3,852$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 3,786$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.32 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 3,662$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.04 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 3,378$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 3,141$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.8 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 3,050$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.72 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,822$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.53 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 2,731$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…51dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,400$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.89 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 2,327$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.47 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 2,299$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.98 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 2,100$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,028$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.87 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,740$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.02 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 1,715$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.47 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 1,677$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 1,463$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.96 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…b714backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 1,288$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.35 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 1,260$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.87 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 1,159$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.85 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 1,115$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.25 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,099$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,009$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.43 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 987.98$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.67 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 985$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.65 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de3…26fdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 966.19$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…dcfebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 869$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 835.32$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.48 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 829.54$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 815.95$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.95 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 810$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…9c06backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 769.97$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 750.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.77 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 700$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.76 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 699.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 666.66$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 634.14$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 605.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 600.77$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.37 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 582.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.01 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 577.96$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.64 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Miami Marlins | 74c | 558.94$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.02 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 526.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 506.79$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.19 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 488$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.36 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7e…7213backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 485.71$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 481.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 474.89$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 474.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 467.49$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.72 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 450$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.