Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc317d817d7a5a580309f522693753ac32a1bae709a243a9866403f10b012ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shevchenkoof Tsitsipas, Shevchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Shevchenko | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tsitsipas | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Tsitsipas | 49c | 482.22$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…fb3fbacked Shevchenko | 51c | 480.33$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Shevchenko | 49c | 319.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Shevchenko | 58c | 277.72$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Tsitsipas | 36c | 245$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Tsitsipas | 51c | 152.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Tsitsipas | 56c | 102.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Tsitsipas | 52c | 93.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Shevchenko | 52c | 93.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tsitsipas | 17c | 84.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…b5a8backed Tsitsipas | 54c | 43.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Tsitsipas | 51c | 40.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Shevchenko vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs TsitsipasTsitsipas won
- Set 2 Winner: Shevchenko vs TsitsipasShevchenko won
- Shevchenko vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Shevchenko vs. Tsitsipas: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.