MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f8cdef3c09133ad03bd01447ee774e2b88dfbacf7084a275e741afdfeae0eb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Miami Marlins, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 8c | 123,910$10,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,153.64 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 31,960$14,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,903.83 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 17,512$8,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 73c | 17,322$12,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Houston Astros | 53c | 13,200$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,204 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Houston Astros | 52c | 11,423$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,483.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 53c | 8,233$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.32 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 52c | 5,877$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 66c | 5,303$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Miami Marlins | 0c | 4,667$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 4,515$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,977$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.04 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Miami Marlins | 2c | 3,877$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Houston Astros | 58c | 3,512$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.37 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 3,114$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.82 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Miami Marlins | 26c | 3,107$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 9c | 2,363$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.32 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,260$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.23 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 2,217$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.98 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Houston Astros | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,240$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.82 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,210$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.9 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 26c | 1,074$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.48 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Miami Marlins | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Miami Marlins | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Houston Astros | 80c | 946.6$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Miami Marlins | 9c | 819.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 811$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 59c | 809.83$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.96 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Houston Astros | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 54c | 786$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.56 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 781.25$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 61c | 727.58$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 723.48$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.14 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Houston Astros | 80c | 715$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 53c | 676.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Miami Marlins | 6c | 638.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 620.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 552.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 75c | 529.02$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 499.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.07 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Houston Astros | 52c | 492.59$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 55c | 485.49$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.47 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Houston Astros | 61c | 481.55$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 480.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.62 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 452.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Houston Astros | 53c | 440.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.72 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 436.11$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.47 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…6700backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 435.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 421.28$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Houston Astros | 39c | 420.12$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.05 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 52c | 389.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 63c | 378.53$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 335.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 6c | 327$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Houston Astros | 53c | 280.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…dc0bbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 276.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Houston Astros | 80c | 274$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 10c | 273.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 270$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Houston Astros | 57c | 268.68$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Houston Astros | 55c | 251.92$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 245$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 233.04$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 54c | 215.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 212$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Houston Astros | 54c | 204.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…2ab9backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 203$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893f…982bbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Houston Astros | 53c | 198$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 79c | 192$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 7c | 184.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…1a49backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 163.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Houston Astros | 68c | 138$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 62c | 133.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…c60fbacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 127.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Miami Marlins | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…afa2backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 346 | 44.8%155 W · 191 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.