MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2408a0823d113380ab4c36b5e538bb5e1b63c39c1eea062912bc1c3781d9483b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $337,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 48c | 208,333$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.82 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Over | 52c | 196,519$102,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,329.3 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Under | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Over | 51c | 17,270$8,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,462.12 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…cd53backed Under | 62c | 14,827$9,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,181.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 65c | 12,810$8,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.81 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 12,107$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,992.01 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 8,315$4,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,045.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 40c | 7,572$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.85 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 52c | 6,910$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.8 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 52c | 6,910$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.8 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 6,650$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 5,138$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.68 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.94 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 3,969$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.12 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under | 4c | 3,750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 56c | 3,741$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.64 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…5777backed Under | 4c | 3,560$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +363.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Under | 50c | 3,292$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Under | 44c | 2,868$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 49c | 2,811$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.39 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,403$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.81 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 49c | 2,391$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.58 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,990$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.32 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,400$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.87 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 1,395$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.23 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 1,318$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.64 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 44c | 1,126$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.81 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.31 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 41c | 964$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.85 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 52c | 932.94$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.81 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Under | 47c | 931.43$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.23 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 52c | 925.17$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.08 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 56c | 884.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Under | 49c | 796.16$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.12 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 52c | 754.21$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.02 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 753.01$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.46 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 41c | 742.41$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.92 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 41c | 718.5$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.66 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Under | 49c | 663.78$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.25 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 562.52$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Under | 49c | 531.86$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.56 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 510.76$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.46 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 490.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…6ae6backed Under | 4c | 446.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 42c | 417.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.36 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 48c | 414.81$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Under | 49c | 408.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 54c | 397$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 38c | 360.34$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.29 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 30c | 344.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…8339backed Under | 49c | 327.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 38c | 293.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 60c | 291.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 42c | 261.89$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 51c | 252.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.92 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 60c | 250.73$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 62c | 247.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 70c | 243$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 68c | 237.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Under | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…47e7backed Under | 44c | 222.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 209.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2208…53eebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Over | 61c | 200.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 72c | 182.57$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 38c | 182.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 48c | 176.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 41c | 146.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 48c | 142$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 38c | 139$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 61c | 136.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Over | 62c | 135.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 28c | 132.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 38c | 129.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Over | 61c | 124.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Over | 62c | 123.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 68c | 122.34$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Under | 49c | 120.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 44c | 118.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 43c | 118$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 37c | 115.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…555bbacked Over | 63c | 114$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-4.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.