Tennis · resolved market
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e377b33605db66c1b0778f5a79d9b065e2e1fb76bd4b62cfb5835bb14735cd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Keysof Madison Keys, Karolina Muchova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $739,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $779,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $739,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Karolina Muchova | 50c | 196,172$98,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,470.92 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Madison Keys | 48c | 68,389$32,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,855.91 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Madison Keys | 61c | 35,374$21,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,945.4 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Madison Keys | 50c | 29,905$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,904.92 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Madison Keys | 62c | 27,655$17,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,474.35 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karolina Muchova | 0c | 27,552$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Karolina Muchova | 50c | 25,682$12,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,742.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Madison Keys | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.93 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Karolina Muchova | 51c | 14,957$7,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,676.09 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Madison Keys | 59c | 13,000$7,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Madison Keys | 42c | 10,000$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Karolina Muchova | 37c | 8,999$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.36 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Karolina Muchova | 58c | 8,505$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Madison Keys | 64c | 8,036$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Karolina Muchova | 51c | 8,004$4,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080.97 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Karolina Muchova | 51c | 7,731$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.93 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Karolina Muchova | 51c | 7,645$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.39 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Karolina Muchova | 26c | 7,455$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.35 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Madison Keys | 43c | 6,900$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Madison Keys | 73c | 6,626$4,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.05 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Madison Keys | 64c | 6,621$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.9 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Karolina Muchova | 23c | 6,433$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.99 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Madison Keys | 57c | 5,843$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.9 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…71a4backed Karolina Muchova | 30c | 5,118$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.11 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Madison Keys | 49c | 3,861$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.15 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Karolina Muchova | 52c | 3,750$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Karolina Muchova | 5c | 3,395$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.49 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Karolina Muchova | 32c | 3,260$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.14 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karolina Muchova | 23c | 3,000$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Karolina Muchova | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…bf0ebacked Karolina Muchova | 17c | 2,916$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.01 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Madison Keys | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Madison Keys | 55c | 2,467$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.68 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Karolina Muchova | 46c | 2,300$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Karolina Muchova | 8c | 2,098$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Karolina Muchova | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Madison Keys | 42c | 1,904$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Madison Keys | 75c | 1,724$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.95 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Karolina Muchova | 28c | 1,700$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Madison Keys | 46c | 1,514$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.85 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Madison Keys | 71c | 1,473$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.45 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Karolina Muchova | 33c | 1,446$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.96 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Karolina Muchova | 52c | 1,350$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…d6ebbacked Madison Keys | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Karolina Muchova | 33c | 1,278$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Madison Keys | 72c | 1,249$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.23 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Karolina Muchova | 43c | 1,203$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.49 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Karolina Muchova | 20c | 1,192$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.18 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e47…3348backed Karolina Muchova | 34c | 1,190$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Karolina Muchova | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Karolina Muchova | 33c | 1,055$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…3d48backed Karolina Muchova | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…a2d6backed Karolina Muchova | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Madison Keys | 48c | 994$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.89 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Karolina Muchova | 31c | 983.57$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.11 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Karolina Muchova | 51c | 948.49$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.64 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Madison Keys | 49c | 927.59$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.17 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Karolina Muchova | 30c | 914.72$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.36 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Karolina Muchova | 57c | 838.3$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Madison Keys | 49c | 834.28$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.11 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Karolina Muchova | 14c | 803.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Karolina Muchova | 25c | 799.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Madison Keys | 67c | 761.15$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Madison Keys | 49c | 714.77$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Karolina Muchova | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Madison Keys | 45c | 647$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.85 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…1613backed Karolina Muchova | 52c | 634.62$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Karolina Muchova | 33c | 629.41$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.69 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…12c6backed Karolina Muchova | 27c | 611.3$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf0…4972backed Karolina Muchova | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Madison Keys | 50c | 598.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.04 | 401 | 44.4%178 W · 223 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Karolina Muchova | 52c | 587.15$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.32 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…d56cbacked Madison Keys | 70c | 569.44$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 244 | 51.6%126 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Madison Keys | 48c | 565$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.8 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Madison Keys | 48c | 553.18$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.65 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…1af5backed Karolina Muchova | 52c | 546.9$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.39 | 226 | 47.8%108 W · 118 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Karolina Muchova | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Karolina Muchova | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Karolina Muchova | 30c | 488.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Karolina Muchova | 29c | 482.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Madison Keys | 49c | 475.67$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.67 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Madison Keys | 42c | 473.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.3 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Karolina Muchova | 36c | 444.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Karolina Muchova | 32c | 421.29$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Karolina Muchova | 42c | 410.26$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.42 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Madison Keys | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Karolina Muchova | 17c | 395.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Madison Keys | 70c | 394.85$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Madison Keys | 55c | 390.06$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Madison Keys | 53c | 359.66$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Madison Keys | 49c | 359.18$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karolina Muchova | 12c | 350.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Karolina Muchova | 35c | 349.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Karolina Muchova | 30c | 334.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Karolina Muchova | 29c | 329.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Madison Keys | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Karolina Muchova | 30c | 303.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Karolina Muchova | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Karolina Muchova | 14c | 282.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Karolina Muchova | 30c | 282.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Keys vs MuchovaKeys won
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Keys (+1.5)Keys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.