TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$904,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$924,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $904,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3535…a775backed Over48c106,367$50,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,567.071560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over47c104,306$49,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,282.0632653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under52c99,908$52,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,281.195940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over47c63,213$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,212.559945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under52c60,000$31,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,199.9814842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under52c55,610$28,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,917.4418651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under53c54,443$28,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,854.7714538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Under51c50,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,499.8811333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c31,465$16,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,545.7564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over48c31,379$15,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,316.884355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over48c30,163$14,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,684.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under52c28,846$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over48c21,147$10,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,996.220155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over48c20,835$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,834.5163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over49c17,688$8,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,089.8685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c15,000$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,699.941,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under6c14,850$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.021,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Over47c13,574$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,194.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Under1c12,281$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.152429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c10,145$5,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,315.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under52c8,956$4,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,624.0655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over48c8,914$4,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,635.556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over47c7,680$3,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.2943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under51c7,518$3,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,857.6410944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over47c7,500$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,97566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over47c7,171$3,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,823.5815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.982157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over49c6,167$3,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.418648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over48c6,149$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.2517147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under53c5,569$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.8225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over48c5,208$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.3390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Over67c5,142$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.981258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.969447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under53c4,744$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.222045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over46c4,567$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.961,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c27…867ebacked Over47c4,461$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over48c4,305$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.583951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under55c4,000$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c3,788$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.051,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Over49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7853743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb170…354ebacked Over48c3,417$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c3,314$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.8752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Over49c3,235$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.794100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+123%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under52c3,044$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.794050%20 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3d…524dbacked Under52c2,915$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c2,850$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under9c2,843$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8221848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over48c2,595$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.0735129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under53c2,402$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.3312146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under57c2,355$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34023251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under42c2,298$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.789444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.9118444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce0d…ca2cbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.823030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.282,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70e8…63f0backed Under53c1,880$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over47c1,850$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.549249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under53c1,841$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98316050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…2065backed Under54c1,789$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.21785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+83.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under19c1,733$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.5653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over48c1,729$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.0816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under5c1,696$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.262,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ff…5cdfbacked Over49c1,658$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81614148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under6c1,577$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0945445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c1,523$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.212,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under11c1,417$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under53c1,400$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over49c1,327$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.538450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under21c1,289$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.662,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over49c1,265$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.313342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under52c1,234$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6821446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under2c1,213$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8834255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Over44c1,203$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.44254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Under52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010448.1%50 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c1,018$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5306352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb273…aa63backed Under10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over48c1,000$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.2923742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over48c999.99$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.2865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3912451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7538…40f9backed Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over48c956$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.124332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under23c914.97$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.71,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8527…09f9backed Over48c840.88$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.26742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over48c779.53$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2992…0d26backed Under54c777.78$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Under53c768.83$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.514245.2%19 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over48c718.75$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.758641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca09…d50ebacked Over49c714.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+66.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under21c711.75$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.431,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c703.01$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3284443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25a1…ddf8backed Over54c645.3$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…a24abacked Over49c643.32$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.