MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x672e866f88271710773b8556ebd7a322d35b4129849618da06dc470ee8ac91be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 47c | 49,371$23,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,166.45 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 48c | 32,113$15,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,698.72 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 53c | 21,300$11,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,289 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 49c | 14,433$7,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,360.71 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 13,487$7,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,110.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Under | 52c | 9,232$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.7 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 8,083$5,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 6,885$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.31 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 5,112$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.42 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Under | 52c | 4,690$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Over | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 3,515$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 3,168$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 76c | 2,615$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.57 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 53c | 2,340$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.45 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 2,238$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,734$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.26 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 64c | 1,541$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 1,300$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 1,161$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.18 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 52c | 1,011$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.07 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 1,000$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.93 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 985.18$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.44 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 37c | 920.01$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.37 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 48c | 851.06$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.55 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Under | 54c | 848.15$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 65c | 750.56$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.13 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 654.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 29c | 632.66$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.19 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 29c | 551$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.05 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 60c | 444.5$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.07 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 62c | 428.37$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 54c | 421.67$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 403.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 62c | 377.4$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.43 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…2d37backed Over | 49c | 359$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Under | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 47c | 330$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 46c | 301.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 286.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 280.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.9 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 36c | 278.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 266.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 31c | 252.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 53c | 242.11$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 46c | 227.18$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 53c | 227$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 62c | 225.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…b208backed Under | 44c | 203.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Under | 63c | 202.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 69c | 160.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Over | 69c | 145.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 48c | 139$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 129.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 37c | 127.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 53c | 122.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 115.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 50c | 97.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 47c | 97.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 41c | 93.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 29c | 90.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 28c | 81.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 79.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 74.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Over | 53c | 65.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Under | 76c | 65.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Under | 54c | 64.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Over | 32c | 61.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 47c | 61.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 48c | 60.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 29c | 59.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 53c | 53.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 55c | 48.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 57c | 46.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 37c | 46.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago CubsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 15.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago CubsYes won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.