MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75cf35d9f6558af02c80beaa49c61f3418a9fc9bf939d26db9eca68d4576354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 4,930$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…446dbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 2,356$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,412$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 840.02$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 701.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.65 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 433.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.88 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 385.89$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 340$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.67 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 338.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.79 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 333$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 243.68$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 217.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 193.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 161.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 151.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 139$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 121.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 109.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 108.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 97.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 93.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 89.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 81.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 78.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 71.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Detroit Tigers | 43c | 69.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 61.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 54.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 47.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 44.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…136ebacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…bcd6backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 32.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Detroit Tigers | 34c | 30.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 28.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 27.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 26.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 20.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 18.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…3333backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 14.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 14.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago CubsDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 14.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 15.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago CubsYes won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.