MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56e182b5c28e9fc4c7ac5b41795b56cd9d16ac1abf7618b53ff25e4a1f5288d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 10,254$4,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.74 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 6,608$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.66 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 4,571$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.08 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 4,568$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.08 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 2,599$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.71 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 1,213$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.52 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 54c | 926.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 904.15$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.02 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 55c | 834.46$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 730.8$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.32 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 52c | 649.98$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 53c | 581.4$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.14 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 578.98$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.76 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 541.22$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 51c | 457.8$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.46 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 63c | 408.73$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 208.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 54c | 206.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 54c | 121.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 45c | 108.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 61c | 104$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 58c | 101.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 57c | 70.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Under | 54c | 51.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 41c | 50.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 35c | 42.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 37.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…b5a8backed Under | 54c | 35.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 47c | 24.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 49c | 22.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 53c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles AngelsColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.