MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d7ef65342fe5eb629e5d1437dc8359cca2882392ef32cb74501d4efafd53bf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Los Angeles Angels, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 7,884$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 3,580$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.93 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 2,255$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 2,219$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.2 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 1,618$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.78 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 1,405$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,260$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Colorado Rockies | 57c | 472.99$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.31 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 341.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Angels | 24c | 320.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 235.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 146.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 129.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 115.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 98.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…676ebacked Colorado Rockies | 73c | 93.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 65c | 79.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked Colorado Rockies | 73c | 75.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 64.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 63.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 55.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Colorado Rockies | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 53.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 46.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 43.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 34.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 24.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…5f02backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Colorado Rockies | 79c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles AngelsColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 13.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.