MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a73cc62c9877135093819d7d2046c4c648c5f9f35913b372987433910ba17bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $495,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 180,652$95,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,454.1 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 47c | 68,252$31,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,839.13 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Athletics | 45c | 41,983$18,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,892.47 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 29,236$15,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,448.56 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 27,682$14,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,564.14 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 26,138$14,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,023.67 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Athletics | 46c | 24,744$11,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,382.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 45c | 20,880$9,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,469.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 45c | 20,806$9,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,281.79 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 48c | 16,536$7,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,877.58 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Athletics | 49c | 16,468$8,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,069.32 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 16,080$8,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,236 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Athletics | 49c | 15,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.99 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 47c | 13,475$6,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,279.08 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Athletics | 7c | 13,016$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 10,910$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.5 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Athletics | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Athletics | 47c | 10,175$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.23 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Athletics | 47c | 9,282$4,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.1 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics | 47c | 9,060$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.23 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 41c | 7,140$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.66 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 48c | 6,422$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.92 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Athletics | 46c | 6,038$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.35 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 0c | 5,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 47c | 5,092$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Athletics | 48c | 4,639$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.72 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 4,353$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.73 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Athletics | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 46c | 3,878$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics | 18c | 3,518$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.34 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 3,461$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.03 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 47c | 3,232$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Athletics | 47c | 3,199$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.34 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics | 15c | 2,942$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.72 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 45c | 2,478$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.35 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 34c | 2,236$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Athletics | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 2,162$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.96 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 46c | 2,145$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.32 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Athletics | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 47c | 2,048$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.32 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 2,019$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.03 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Athletics | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Athletics | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics | 34c | 1,676$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.04 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Athletics | 46c | 1,536$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.42 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Athletics | 49c | 1,403$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.65 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d8…da40backed Athletics | 11c | 1,384$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,062$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.38 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Athletics | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Athletics | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Athletics | 46c | 928.2$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.97 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 926.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.35 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 910.76$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 887.11$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.2 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Athletics | 46c | 870.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Athletics | 46c | 847$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.62 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 838.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.55 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics | 24c | 812.07$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 810.17$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.36 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Athletics | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 65c | 786.21$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.79 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 777.25$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.26 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 42c | 654.96$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.99 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…b8eabacked Athletics | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 592$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Athletics | 45c | 573.74$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.03 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Athletics | 41c | 559.87$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.42 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Athletics | 48c | 533.01$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.21 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 528.67$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Athletics | 13c | 521.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Athletics | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…ed1cbacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 501.27$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Athletics | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Athletics | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 488.08$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Athletics | 49c | 452.73$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Athletics | 48c | 451.55$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 443.2$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Athletics | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Athletics | 48c | 432$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Athletics | 47c | 414$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 408.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics | 47c | 361.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsthis page
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.