MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d52edf29c7fbe2f972e055f7fb93b66e80e79b222d45d2667db6f452d24c651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 58c | 154,631$90,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,267.87 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 105,047$43,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,733.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 42c | 35,866$15,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,802.01 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 19,683$10,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,431.99 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 15,673$7,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,611.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 54c | 9,180$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.78 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 8,669$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 2,771$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.74 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 2,463$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.2 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,250$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 42c | 1,866$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.01 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 1,828$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.12 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Over | 48c | 1,564$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.15 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Under | 46c | 1,327$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 1,175$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 1,050$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.92 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 905$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.03 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 49c | 816.26$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.29 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under | 41c | 737.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 36c | 698.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.45 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 670$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.1 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 585$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 551.01$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.55 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 478.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 473.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.62 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 43c | 448.23$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.49 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 48c | 413.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.9 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 54c | 400.82$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 49c | 399.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 317.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.71 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 314.41$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 50c | 265$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 60c | 253.86$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 22c | 246$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 245.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 230.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 36c | 224.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 219.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 199$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 33c | 181.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 137.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 43c | 133.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 64c | 132.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 21c | 118.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 47c | 113.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 68c | 97.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 46c | 96.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Over | 43c | 74.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 48c | 73.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Over | 43c | 72.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 70.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Over | 49c | 67.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 45c | 66.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Under | 40c | 53.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 31c | 52.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Over | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…4dccbacked Under | 78c | 50.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 46c | 45.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 46c | 42.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 46c | 42.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 42.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…00f4backed Over | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 49c | 40.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Over | 46c | 40.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 40c | 40.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 37c | 39.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 61c | 33.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 48c | 31.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 30.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 55c | 28.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Over | 42c | 25.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…2d21backed Under | 59c | 25.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ead…f0fbbacked Over | 43c | 24.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…d48ebacked Over | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…f703backed Under | 58c | 20.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5this page
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. AthleticsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.