TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Minnesota Twins, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Detroit Tigers55c17,898$9,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,054.144953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins46c15,904$7,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3161,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Detroit Tigers54c12,900$6,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,93444851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins45c9,772$4,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,408.933,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Detroit Tigers54c8,759$4,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,029.262951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Detroit Tigers65c8,290$5,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.543554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Detroit Tigers75c8,282$6,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.5631958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Minnesota Twins45c6,341$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,853.2477053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Minnesota Twins46c6,000$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736.182,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Minnesota Twins0c5,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins45c5,081$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.651,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins44c4,717$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc667…34cebacked Minnesota Twins20c4,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+156.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers54c4,275$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.631,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaab5…fdc0backed Minnesota Twins1c4,200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3329241.4%121 W · 171 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Detroit Tigers55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.361,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins28c3,471$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.628,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Minnesota Twins46c1,800$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82886653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers76c1,527$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.812,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c77…4d42backed Minnesota Twins4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins35c1,441$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.3210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers68c1,281$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.271,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Detroit Tigers55c1,274$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.2519566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Detroit Tigers54c1,250$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.2244945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Minnesota Twins3c1,113$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins45c1,046$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.776,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Detroit Tigers73c1,007$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2560043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Minnesota Twins45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Detroit Tigers55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins32c838.53$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.089,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins46c811$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.0669453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins24c807.06$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.928,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f8…fe20backed Minnesota Twins45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins45c789.49$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2711,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6862…8c75backed Minnesota Twins46c760.87$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins41c749.4$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.434,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Minnesota Twins45c740.34$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1543253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Detroit Tigers55c701$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.451,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Detroit Tigers55c654.54$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5494549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Minnesota Twins46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022153.4%118 W · 103 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Minnesota Twins32c624.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.893,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Minnesota Twins22c600$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.57321.9%16 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Detroit Tigers55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4510046%46 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Detroit Tigers55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4522753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf105…e32ebacked Minnesota Twins47c523.4$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Minnesota Twins32c501.41$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3652228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Minnesota Twins30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d1…a329backed Detroit Tigers54c490.74$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Detroit Tigers54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9620552.7%108 W · 97 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Detroit Tigers55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5594034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Minnesota Twins3c450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510625.5%27 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Minnesota Twins46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20739440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Detroit Tigers55c439.2$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6437052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff08…faefbacked Minnesota Twins47c437.23$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Minnesota Twins46c435$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.11,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Detroit Tigers55c433.98$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2948147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Detroit Tigers75c408.54$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4172655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Minnesota Twins23c400$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea8d…a8efbacked Minnesota Twins11c400$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456341.3%26 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers68c394$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.084,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins46c348.58$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.354,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers75c312.52$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.933,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Detroit Tigers71c306.76$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9979147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Detroit Tigers53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1411,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Minnesota Twins46c280$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.88953.9%48 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed Minnesota Twins46c254.35$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11714046.4%65 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcca6…5979backed Detroit Tigers54c253.7$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins46c230$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.81,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Minnesota Twins46c223.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8711948.7%58 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9c4…40cfbacked Minnesota Twins46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x602a…2ef7backed Detroit Tigers54c214.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.61,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Minnesota Twins34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6865651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc7…ce00backed Minnesota Twins5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.41,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Detroit Tigers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8239047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Detroit Tigers73c178.6$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9488053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Minnesota Twins46c170.21$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.338444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Minnesota Twins46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.641549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Minnesota Twins22c153.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.651,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Detroit Tigers54c149.32$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3216844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins32c147.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.344,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Detroit Tigers75c136.94$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.371,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Minnesota Twins46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6058943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Minnesota Twins31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Detroit Tigers80c125.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.721,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Detroit Tigers54c125.73$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8313148.9%64 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Detroit Tigers69c115.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9243560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc775…c180backed Minnesota Twins35c115.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Minnesota Twins38c114.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8837451.3%192 W · 182 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Detroit Tigers54c112.61$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.850748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ff…8818backed Detroit Tigers55c111.16$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.021560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…7398backed Minnesota Twins46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.665542.4%278 W · 377 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins46c109.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.282,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c47…4641backed Detroit Tigers55c109.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.291250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Detroit Tigers55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.094862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5640…0957backed Detroit Tigers55c108.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.781540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.