MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f8edc5681273127241c5d2fa580484c2a72320c063baed7f2225b77c5bbfd68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 53c | 8,842$4,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,169.04 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 5,116$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 29c | 4,408$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 60c | 3,650$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 69c | 3,045$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 49c | 2,127$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.29 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 39c | 2,067$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.98 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Under | 52c | 1,989$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 1,749$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 40c | 860$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 757.12$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 58c | 639.4$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.18 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 40c | 625.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.34 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 49c | 579.89$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.44 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 558.66$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 476.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 60c | 403.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 333.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.56 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Over | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 44c | 195.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 58c | 177.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 39c | 146.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 32c | 103.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 42c | 102.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…3691backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 76.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 60c | 74.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 74.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 60c | 72.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 60c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 43c | 51.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 60c | 48.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Over | 53c | 47.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Under | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Under | 50c | 44.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 40.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 60c | 36.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 44c | 27.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 46c | 26.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 58c | 25.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 44c | 25.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 63c | 22.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 61c | 20.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 58c | 17.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.