TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Minnesota Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,570
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,570 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde49…fe85backed Detroit Tigers61c15,000$9,150 inWon+$5,85048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins39c5,762$2,247 inLost-$2,247.184,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins39c5,401$2,106 inLost-$2,106.210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins62c1,699$1,054 inLost-$1,053.593,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins51c889.89$453 inLost-$453.12,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins62c729$452 inLost-$451.986,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins62c434.4$269 inLost-$269.335,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins55c393.12$216 inLost-$216.4711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Detroit Tigers38c320.39$122 inWon+$198.6436250.3%182 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Detroit Tigers38c320.39$122 inWon+$198.6429354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota Twins53c286.51$152 inLost-$151.854,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins62c264.23$164 inLost-$163.828,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Detroit Tigers46c200$92 inWon+$1081,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins53c175$93 inLost-$93.3812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers49c121$59 inWon+$61.886,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Minnesota Twins46c80.66$37 inLost-$37.241,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Detroit Tigers39c79.52$31 inWon+$48.731,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Tigers46c56.98$26 inWon+$30.771,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Detroit Tigers38c55.26$21 inWon+$34.264247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Minnesota Twins57c50$29 inLost-$28.611,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f7…a9a9backed Detroit Tigers38c48.34$18 inWon+$29.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-54.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Detroit Tigers59c40$24 inWon+$16.388053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers37c39.59$15 inWon+$24.942,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Detroit Tigers38c34.39$13 inWon+$21.3265359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Minnesota Twins53c20$11 inLost-$10.61,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Minnesota Twins63c19.77$12 inLost-$12.4644347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Minnesota Twins63c16$10 inLost-$10.081,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.