NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda333e2b2f233381108883bba2ca36b2aa5ed97fd660d1d484f865b91fd338cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bulls, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,044,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,056,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,044,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,056 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Bucks | 49c | 212,800$103,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,857.92 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 51c | 127,594$65,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,101.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 44c | 111,273$48,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,787.62 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks | 44c | 102,672$45,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,496.06 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bulls | 54c | 70,000$37,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,800 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bulls | 57c | 60,271$34,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,150.13 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Bucks | 48c | 56,336$26,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,378.48 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Bucks | 49c | 51,000$24,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,010 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 29c | 50,000$14,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Bulls | 52c | 32,400$16,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,848 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks | 49c | 32,222$15,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,433.22 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 54c | 26,390$14,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,257.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Bucks | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bulls | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Bulls | 55c | 23,144$12,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,734.74 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Bulls | 54c | 20,000$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,700 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Bulls | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 25c | 20,000$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.12 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 52c | 18,188$9,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,457.71 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 24c | 17,341$4,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls | 56c | 16,975$9,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,506.26 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 53c | 16,004$8,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,542.05 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Bucks | 42c | 15,319$6,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,898.05 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Bucks | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls | 56c | 13,740$7,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,694.4 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Bulls | 51c | 12,669$6,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,461.19 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Bulls | 51c | 12,240$6,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,242.4 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Bulls | 53c | 12,225$6,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.01 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls | 1c | 11,548$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 51c | 11,058$5,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,647.77 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Bulls | 51c | 11,046$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.46 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 77c | 9,988$7,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bulls | 6c | 9,976$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.51 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls | 54c | 9,809$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.79 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfea…933ebacked Bucks | 45c | 9,800$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd5…f3ccbacked Bulls | 56c | 9,714$5,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,410.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Bulls | 57c | 9,577$5,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,456.24 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bulls | 51c | 9,318$4,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,751.97 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Bulls | 51c | 9,264$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.67 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae7…92e3backed Bulls | 58c | 8,546$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bucks | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.83 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bulls | 51c | 8,017$4,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.79 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,719.98 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bucks | 49c | 7,901$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks | 47c | 7,474$3,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.12 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 52c | 7,347$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 52c | 7,313$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.57 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Bucks | 46c | 7,008$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.53 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulls | 15c | 6,991$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Bulls | 55c | 6,974$3,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.7 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bulls | 58c | 6,745$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.01 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Bucks | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bulls | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,275.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Bulls | 56c | 6,296$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.82 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls | 1c | 6,247$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 32c | 6,209$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.74 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 0c | 6,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Bulls | 40c | 6,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls | 46c | 5,900$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb519…5a82backed Bulls | 53c | 5,627$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Bucks | 41c | 5,450$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.39 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd90…b6abbacked Bucks | 44c | 5,395$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Bulls | 58c | 5,300$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Bucks | 42c | 5,300$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.96 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d73…acbbbacked Bulls | 56c | 5,295$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Bucks | 43c | 5,092$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.29 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Bulls | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bucks | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bucks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Bucks | 41c | 4,952$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.82 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Bulls | 51c | 4,921$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.71 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bulls | 59c | 4,920$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 55c | 4,899$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 54c | 4,822$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…9d2cbacked Bucks | 44c | 4,602$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Bulls | 56c | 4,600$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Bulls | 56c | 4,515$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.79 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…7d04backed Bulls | 52c | 4,369$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…f05dbacked Bulls | 58c | 4,305$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…51b2backed Bulls | 58c | 4,300$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…571cbacked Bucks | 42c | 4,300$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…f2e4backed Bucks | 42c | 4,290$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…0451backed Bucks | 42c | 4,280$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…6e57backed Bulls | 58c | 4,270$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Bucks | 42c | 4,100$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Bulls | 58c | 4,100$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Bulls | 57c | 4,079$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.24 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Bulls | 1c | 4,023$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls | 25c | 3,977$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.15 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Bulls | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…b851backed Bucks | 42c | 3,730$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…7dadbacked Bucks | 42c | 3,680$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…ceb7backed Bulls | 58c | 3,676$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bucks | 46c | 3,600$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Bulls | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Bucks | 41c | 3,378$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.9 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bucks | 41c | 3,369$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.84 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Bulls | 5c | 3,358$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 9c | 3,358$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.18 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Bulls | 57c | 3,325$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.07 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Bucksthis page
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.