NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57003d8edd903fdb3b087bb8d1b301d442593dac74cdb07133f8778c3ed17ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 60c | 80,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000.02 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 40c | 79,875$31,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,925 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 58c | 14,054$8,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,151.18 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 10,956$4,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,265.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over | 46c | 6,887$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,718.95 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…4bf9backed Over | 46c | 6,413$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 3,732$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…dcdfbacked Under | 54c | 2,413$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…b75abacked Under | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 47c | 1,711$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.83 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b3…763ebacked Under | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,580$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 54c | 1,528$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.12 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 59c | 1,471$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.04 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 42c | 1,143$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.2 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Over | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Over | 47c | 641.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.57 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 41c | 488.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Over | 47c | 419.15$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.15 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 60c | 381.39$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 348.01$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 42c | 183.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 124.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 53c | 123.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 114.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 109.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 63c | 105.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 57c | 98.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 58c | 89.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 60c | 86.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 40c | 86.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 62c | 80.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 41c | 79.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 40c | 60.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 58c | 47.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 41c | 46.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…9b14backed Under | 59c | 33.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…535abacked Under | 61c | 29.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Under | 55c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 55c | 25.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Under | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…5c6cbacked Under | 59c | 17.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5this page
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Bulls vs. BucksBucks won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.