CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Falcons win FISSURE Playground 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcedd04b5c8e1b468ed848ecbe28ba4df1753b880ac76d67b053141b70656bac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 39c | 11,022$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,277.94 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 65c | 7,812$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.48 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…1002backed Yes | 38c | 4,839$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 61c | 4,208$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked No | 62c | 1,900$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed No | 59c | 1,628$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed No | 59c | 1,170$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 8c | 959.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…3604backed Yes | 54c | 942.15$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 62c | 592.28$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.06 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 61c | 581$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.33 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed No | 64c | 521.01$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Yes | 40c | 499$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Yes | 40c | 375.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes | 37c | 270$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 151.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Yes | 49c | 143.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed Yes | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 137.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Yes | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Yes | 48c | 123.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 64c | 111$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Yes | 48c | 98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 54c | 83.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 40c | 82.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Yes | 38c | 78.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 64c | 64.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…fb6bbacked No | 61c | 58.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…5f3fbacked Yes | 36c | 51.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…95b7backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee40…0cfabacked Yes | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…21f6backed Yes | 50c | 45.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 35c | 43.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…29b0backed Yes | 47c | 42.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked Yes | 39c | 38.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x501b…8119backed No | 63c | 36.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 55c | 30.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 45c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…3df1backed No | 63c | 29.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…15f6backed No | 63c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…aff1backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd1…58adbacked No | 55c | 18.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Falcons win FISSURE Playground 2?this page
- Will Astralis win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will Aurora Gaming win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2?Yes won
- Will FaZe Clan win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will G2 Esports win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will Team Liquid win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will Virtus.pro win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
- Will paiN Gaming win FISSURE Playground 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.