TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will FURIA win FISSURE Playground 2?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Yes46c52,643$24,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,621.729247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No55c19,020$10,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,512.7783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed No55c18,957$10,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,363.9745848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes42c17,715$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,274.8621645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed No58c11,650$6,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,756.8323852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Yes41c5,346$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.37646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed Yes76c4,669$3,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.325459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Yes47c4,508$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.681,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes10c4,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed No6c3,998$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf97…beb5backed Yes57c3,515$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.742937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes41c2,647$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.7325842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked No59c2,373$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.0715452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8206…7cacbacked Yes46c2,361$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2683721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Yes73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.12065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed No58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1606842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No58c1,872$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.985446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes40c1,726$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.285326.4%14 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes41c1,715$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.265129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7637…de5dbacked No42c1,698$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9450%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06ca…1d4bbacked No58c1,400$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.252020%4 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Yes46c1,378$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.6822056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes31c1,210$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.556613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.265,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…335abacked Yes38c971.68$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed Yes52c938.2$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.210238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed No29c916.62$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.828636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Yes59c912$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.871,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes19c797.47$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.7514332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed No67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed No52c666.91$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No53c658.74$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6281751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf7…65d9backed No59c602.02$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed No46c570.36$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.412843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes10c545.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.3881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Yes41c509.08$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.082725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No58c487.5$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.751,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Yes42c460$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8812131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No70c430.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30068753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Yes16c411.55$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.6375450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes48c374.12$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Yes58c371.93$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9438452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb85d…49eabacked No30c369$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.74438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Yes43c320.45$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.458842%37 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Yes13c320$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.46248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed No54c314.95$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.522142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes20c305.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.734151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Yes29c302.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8411625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd57…e1edbacked Yes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec76…f9f1backed No56c294.76$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c47…5a56backed Yes72c278.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed No72c265$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.863345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed No21c243$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.034736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ec…f816backed Yes60c239.97$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.032045%9 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc158…bbdfbacked Yes39c237.59$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes33c214.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.86456.3%36 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1208549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed No58c186.46$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1560853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed No33c149.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2518624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed Yes39c133.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3336437.4%136 W · 228 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99c…aff1backed Yes19c133.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.27540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No67c128.26$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2729547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7919423.7%46 W · 148 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes11c111$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7988242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Yes61c104.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.923956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes46c101.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3816335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b1…7dc3backed No54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d2…9213backed Yes56c86.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d5…3604backed Yes40c80.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e4…0d66backed Yes51c75.13$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1518444%81 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f3…7198backed Yes33c72.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.632334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes41c61.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a71…f9c9backed Yes43c58.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.594264.3%27 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Yes40c55.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.314544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Yes43c53.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.494748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158625.6%22 W · 64 L-13.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8153…e72fbacked No62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked No58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ec…18f4backed Yes42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.843135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0d…59d0backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+82.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked No77c46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.428155.6%45 W · 36 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f08…ec15backed Yes43c43.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4c…e485backed Yes26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf80c…bf9bbacked Yes47c38.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab95…61a1backed Yes41c37.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe39c…5ec0backed Yes39c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.72138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+51.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6223…0671backed Yes39c36.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.24825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2505…a4f7backed Yes40c33.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…fe26backed Yes70c32.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc982…4a1fbacked Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.