CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: Virtus.pro vs. OG
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d614630da6d0d0ad67b79fed5f96416b5dd2f4fe67562fa014c32e116c16db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 17,871$9,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,401.75 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed OG | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,230 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed OG | 47c | 8,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…f348backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 3,680$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed OG | 47c | 2,901$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.05 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked OG | 42c | 2,642$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.49 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 1,665$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.6 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked OG | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b1…44dcbacked OG | 50c | 995$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed OG | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked OG | 47c | 636.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 556.28$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked OG | 45c | 548.2$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.69 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…f530backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 405$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…c66fbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 375$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 232$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…f2e7backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked OG | 47c | 219.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 131.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 118.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked OG | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed OG | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 44.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…d97fbacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…1220backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.