CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: MIBR vs. Legacy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5741e465be13f095c80775289a37cf0c36d28e8d877b5ed2dfc811e5cafa1fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof MIBR, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Legacy | 49c | 16,881$8,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,532.28 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked MIBR | 53c | 13,087$6,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,975.26 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MIBR | 52c | 8,759$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,577.02 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Legacy | 46c | 8,754$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.29 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Legacy | 59c | 8,562$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.23 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed MIBR | 30c | 5,840$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.94 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed MIBR | 50c | 3,878$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.08 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Legacy | 35c | 1,024$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.78 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MIBR | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.93 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed MIBR | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…9fdebacked MIBR | 51c | 845$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…8617backed Legacy | 49c | 655$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked MIBR | 52c | 570$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MIBR | 54c | 551.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Legacy | 49c | 459.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Legacy | 54c | 378.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…1007backed Legacy | 49c | 340$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Legacy | 49c | 329.85$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.26 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed MIBR | 67c | 300.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MIBR | 51c | 258.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Legacy | 50c | 226.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked MIBR | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked MIBR | 52c | 194.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MIBR | 49c | 189.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed MIBR | 70c | 170.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…9b2ebacked MIBR | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…8d7dbacked Legacy | 31c | 151.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed MIBR | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed MIBR | 28c | 131.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MIBR | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Legacy | 36c | 129.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed MIBR | 10c | 118.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…9e5fbacked MIBR | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Legacy | 45c | 87.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed MIBR | 44c | 85.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Legacy | 35c | 73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Legacy | 40c | 64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed MIBR | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked MIBR | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…2eacbacked MIBR | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db4…d97fbacked MIBR | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Legacy | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.