CS2 · resolved market
CS: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs B8
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53444bfc41b103aaa6fb74f61618e59c6282f454501acd4f197f050d38ffa492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof Ninjas in Pyjamas, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked B8 | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked B8 | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 66c | 4,532$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.88 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 3,550$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.21 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked B8 | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 67c | 1,369$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.31 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed B8 | 27c | 1,111$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.97 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 1,065$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.66 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 962.06$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.07 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked B8 | 39c | 745.72$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.03 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked B8 | 37c | 579.07$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.15 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed B8 | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed B8 | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 387.93$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 326.43$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 70c | 310.32$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked B8 | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 283.05$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked B8 | 32c | 215.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9395…38edbacked B8 | 24c | 207.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked B8 | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed B8 | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…f816backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 145.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf822…093ebacked B8 | 28c | 108.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…3468backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 46.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.