Tennis · resolved market
China Open: Anna Bondar vs Bianca Andreescu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aef72e47d7d5df589b8e087cd6e88a5f10c240e82478a33f4287d553762eeb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bondarof Bondar, Andreescu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Andreescu | 0c | 14,474$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Bondar | 39c | 1,748$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.5 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bondar | 65c | 1,257$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.95 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Andreescu | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bondar | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Andreescu | 64c | 895$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.8 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Andreescu | 26c | 755$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bondar | 35c | 737.25$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.32 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Andreescu | 26c | 590$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.1 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Andreescu | 34c | 584.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Bondar | 50c | 572.71$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.21 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Andreescu | 40c | 507$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.67 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Andreescu | 50c | 387.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.46 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bondar | 36c | 307$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…335abacked Andreescu | 34c | 263.24$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Andreescu | 36c | 226.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…dd55backed Bondar | 49c | 191$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Andreescu | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Andreescu | 64c | 184.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Andreescu | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.