CS2 · resolved market
CS: TYLOO vs The MongolZ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1839fd3c7a1d63379bd1cb6dc851bf2ba3db639432b9a2e7c35bc8d5497ac15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The MongolZof TYLOO, The MongolZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed TYLOO | 19c | 18,781$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.4 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…da92backed TYLOO | 18c | 2,874$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TYLOO | 4c | 1,203$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed TYLOO | 1c | 1,059$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked TYLOO | 19c | 1,055$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked TYLOO | 47c | 1,051$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.97 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TYLOO | 35c | 1,000$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked The MongolZ | 47c | 957$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.21 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed The MongolZ | 69c | 816.6$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.63 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed TYLOO | 17c | 750$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked TYLOO | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed The MongolZ | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed TYLOO | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked TYLOO | 27c | 442.85$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed TYLOO | 38c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed The MongolZ | 26c | 381.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.03 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed TYLOO | 26c | 371.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed The MongolZ | 70c | 355.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.08 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked The MongolZ | 62c | 312.32$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed TYLOO | 35c | 288.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked TYLOO | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed The MongolZ | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed The MongolZ | 71c | 233.4$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed The MongolZ | 56c | 206.21$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed The MongolZ | 67c | 202.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked The MongolZ | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked TYLOO | 40c | 199.81$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed TYLOO | 44c | 195.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked TYLOO | 55c | 194.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80bf…e42ebacked The MongolZ | 60c | 186.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed TYLOO | 21c | 180$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed The MongolZ | 41c | 174.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…335abacked TYLOO | 54c | 142.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed The MongolZ | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked TYLOO | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed The MongolZ | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed TYLOO | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed TYLOO | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed The MongolZ | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed TYLOO | 21c | 90.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked The MongolZ | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked TYLOO | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed The MongolZ | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed The MongolZ | 62c | 78.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed The MongolZ | 74c | 76.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed TYLOO | 32c | 70.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked TYLOO | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked TYLOO | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed The MongolZ | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked The MongolZ | 72c | 41.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed TYLOO | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed TYLOO | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed The MongolZ | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…35e4backed The MongolZ | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.