TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

CS: paiN vs Virtus.pro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,006 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c52…42babacked Virtus.pro0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Virtus.pro5c5,137$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.964047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Virtus.pro43c3,249$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.3615452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Virtus.pro17c2,940$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7260853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked paiN57c2,581$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.420855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd32a…504cbacked paiN63c2,052$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.532568%17 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Virtus.pro36c2,013$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.0788242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Virtus.pro43c2,000$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.9718650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Virtus.pro43c1,749$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.0126251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed Virtus.pro27c1,526$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed paiN50c1,369$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.298636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed paiN59c1,281$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.011450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa3…1c28backed Virtus.pro44c1,135$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Virtus.pro39c1,132$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.9827345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked paiN60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked paiN55c999.98$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9981244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Virtus.pro33c973$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.1612131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Virtus.pro41c892.32$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked paiN58c867.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.0360953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed paiN77c865.26$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.715459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro45c839.17$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3226351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked paiN56c829$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.768956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Virtus.pro44c814.41$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3124935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed paiN60c800$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32246340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Virtus.pro41c800$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32538452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked paiN51c771.87$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.825565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked paiN55c759$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.3829855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Virtus.pro41c699.86$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.948838.6%34 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Virtus.pro43c697.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed paiN74c636.09$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0910238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1c…335abacked paiN58c562.22$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked paiN57c531.79$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2911656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Virtus.pro40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed paiN57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2155,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4b40backed paiN60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.63154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Virtus.pro37c499.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1876240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8206…7cacbacked Virtus.pro36c450$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.53721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked paiN56c447.09$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.721,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed paiN60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1604252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked paiN72c385.52$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.567659.2%45 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed paiN59c378.74$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7411030.9%34 W · 76 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed paiN56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1436751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed paiN58c344.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.771735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Virtus.pro27c335.81$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5347055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed paiN58c327.59$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.598137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Virtus.pro42c318.26$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Virtus.pro18c304.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.814736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed Virtus.pro45c299.91$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9622554.7%123 W · 102 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0750…0437backed Virtus.pro57c261.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd62…222cbacked Virtus.pro45c238.54$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Virtus.pro54c219$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.421,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed paiN56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed paiN56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8863345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked Virtus.pro41c191.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.574959.2%29 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe936…8944backed paiN56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Virtus.pro59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6466…4633backed Virtus.pro21c161.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.943237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed paiN64c158$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5768753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6222056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Virtus.pro37c129.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3420856.3%117 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Virtus.pro32c122.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3911625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Virtus.pro44c121.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.751,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed Virtus.pro41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.212843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Virtus.pro43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5073658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed Virtus.pro42c106.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.678833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed paiN59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6923454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3240…9172backed paiN63c100.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.642152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed paiN56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd053…3202backed Virtus.pro42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf117…31b6backed Virtus.pro18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182718.5%5 W · 22 L-6.1wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-63.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro31c97.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.891,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Virtus.pro37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358629.1%25 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed paiN60c93.01$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.24429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a0a…ada0backed paiN79c90.84$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed paiN57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.71,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed paiN59c81.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3614544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Virtus.pro44c77.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414233.8%48 W · 94 L-18.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Virtus.pro45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fff…5369backed paiN60c66.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb85d…49eabacked paiN61c51.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Virtus.pro21c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53426.5%9 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed paiN71c47.4$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7442057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed paiN59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3724250.8%123 W · 119 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Virtus.pro35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.522060.9%134 W · 86 L+16.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01a0…4038backed paiN77c28.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.742347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf543…b443backed Virtus.pro44c24.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbb…e5bcbacked paiN56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1242…8dfebacked Virtus.pro65c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.952259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ddd…6144backed paiN48c20.85$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.844742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcae1…7dddbacked paiN75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.