Tennis · resolved market
China Open: Yue Yuan vs Yulia Putintseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdc2d29b7f028a1f365c993786da94d1c8662f373486255b9b3a7a895ba6a9e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuanof Yuan, Putintseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Putintseva | 48c | 6,632$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.8 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yuan | 53c | 6,623$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.2 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Putintseva | 47c | 3,337$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.74 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yuan | 52c | 2,345$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.72 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yuan | 54c | 1,946$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.65 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Putintseva | 48c | 1,735$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yuan | 52c | 658.08$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.88 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yuan | 57c | 508.3$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yuan | 49c | 389.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Putintseva | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Putintseva | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Putintseva | 44c | 243$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…335abacked Putintseva | 21c | 229.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83bc…7243backed Yuan | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Putintseva | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Yuan | 80c | 45.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yuan | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yuan | 55c | 23.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yuan | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…228bbacked Putintseva | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.