TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$863,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$946,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $863,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 692 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked No29c100,000$28,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,844.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked No24c71,000$17,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,040650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes74c60,139$44,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,431.489146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No25c39,979$10,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,137.149857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes75c36,756$27,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,238.613056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes79c25,000$19,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,25010543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes76c25,000$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0007060%42 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Yes75c18,951$14,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,737.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No24c18,852$4,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4618231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Yes71c17,117$12,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,963.931154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes77c15,045$11,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.2429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe153…e415backed No25c15,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No26c14,671$3,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850.9812536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No28c13,995$3,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.127052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes72c13,889$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.972152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No15c12,608$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.120948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No27c12,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No23c11,872$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.021,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes72c11,416$8,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.5936851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10014235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7cb…76fcbacked No1c9,516$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No4c7,962$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.338840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes71c7,805$5,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.024555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes73c6,849$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.321560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.955056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217f…e07abacked No25c6,421$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed No21c6,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.97100%0 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes75c5,488$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.7916136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d4…63adbacked No25c5,427$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes71c5,297$3,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.2614952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25039746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No44c4,518$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.5520462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x503b…4f98backed No25c4,509$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes71c4,500$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.8728543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes75c4,267$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.643262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No5c4,138$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.245529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5b…5323backed No25c4,108$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes72c3,780$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.5122147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4d…aea0backed No25c3,394$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecf…06f9backed No25c3,391$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No21c3,284$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.635040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd47…44b9backed No25c3,262$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes72c3,207$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.630657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff5…40a2backed No25c2,878$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x173b…baf5backed No25c2,747$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5af…7683backed No25c2,606$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb004…c887backed No25c2,589$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No26c2,487$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.6110051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca1…a834backed No25c2,486$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.5911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-78.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…69d5backed No25c2,344$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7a…a385backed No25c2,341$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No24c2,339$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.258241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No22c2,305$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.078836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb229…0591backed No25c2,269$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.2540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes70c2,214$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.324045%18 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Yes72c2,203$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes77c2,189$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.963060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868a…add6backed No25c2,157$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aef…06f8backed No29c2,151$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-74.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ff…e1dbbacked No25c2,149$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe43d…a201backed No25c2,142$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No25c2,131$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.2117853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a78…bd69backed No25c2,105$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No21c1,909$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.221,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5e…a49fbacked No25c1,898$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…48a9backed No25c1,875$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015e…3954backed Yes75c1,821$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ad…2e85backed No25c1,771$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda0c…af73backed No25c1,752$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No21c1,747$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.9517048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No29c1,730$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.73537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No27c1,624$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.458259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b14…9b0ebacked No25c1,623$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.7580%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb0…a102backed No25c1,598$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes77c1,590$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.75651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36be…e8a7backed No25c1,539$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes79c1,519$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.993959%23 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b6…4c57backed No25c1,502$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.5911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-78.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424f…99d6backed Yes75c1,497$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ad…c966backed No25c1,462$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b5…04a2backed No25c1,459$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc5…7d2ebacked No25c1,450$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes74c1,370$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed0…d2b2backed No25c1,367$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81c0…517ebacked No25c1,345$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd5…1974backed No25c1,343$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f60…e360backed Yes75c1,318$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f4d…6982backed Yes75c1,308$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.057259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No22c1,273$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.069341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e8…18c6backed Yes75c1,271$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9178…534ebacked Yes79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.822259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635c…8a90backed No25c1,261$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc943…7626backed No25c1,179$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x533c…9086backed No25c1,174$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcb…b4babacked Yes75c1,149$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b3…c419backed No25c1,127$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c58…dc05backed No25c1,120$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27d6…cfe7backed No25c1,107$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.